**MESSAGE **
ULX STOLEN BASE SHEET — JUNE 16
These are the guys that fit the ULX stolen base hunting profile:
✅ Top of lineup
✅ Aggressive runners
✅ Green-light managers
✅ Can reach via single/walk
✅ Opposing pitcher/catcher vulnerability potential
S-TIER SB TARGETS
James Wood (WSH)
Elite sprint speed
Hits near top
Gets on base often
Royals focused on power bats behind him
SB Grade: A+
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC)
One of the most dangerous runners in baseball
Nationals battery can be attacked
Multiple steal upside
SB Grade: A+
Jarren Duran (BOS)
ULX favorite for a reason
Leads off
Constant green light
SB Grade: A
Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC)
Wind game at Wrigley
Can impact game with legs even if power doesn’t show
SB Grade: A
Trea Turner (PHI)
Elite instincts
Phillies love creating motion on bases
SB Grade: A
VALUE SB TARGETS
Xavier Edwards (MIA)
Quietly one of the best SB profiles in baseball
Leads off
Always live for a swipe
SB Grade: A
Lane Thomas (KC)
If he reaches, he’s running
Usually overlooked compared to Witt
SB Grade: B+
CJ Abrams (WSH)
Always dangerous
Power has cooled but legs remain
SB Grade: B+
Jose Caballero (NYY)
Bottom-order ULX special
Can pinch-run his way into a steal
SB Grade: B+
Brice Turang (MIL)
One of the better pure base thieves on slate
Gets forgotten because of lineup spot
SB Grade: B+
ULX LONGSHOT SB HUNTERS
These are the dudes books usually hang at juicy prices:
🔥 Derek Hill (PHI)
🔥 Eli White (ATL)
🔥 Jacob Young (WSH)
🔥 Nasim Nunez (WSH)
🔥 Drew Gilbert (SF)
🔥 David Hamilton (MIL)
🔥 Caleb Durbin (BOS)
🔥 Tyler Freeman (COL)
ULX HOME RUN LONGSHOT BOARD
Not the obvious stars.
The ugly names that cash.
SNEAKY NUKES
Marcelo Mayer (BOS)
Fenway power profile
Pull-side lift
Often overlooked
Spencer Jones (NYY)
Yankee Stadium
Massive raw power
Perfect longshot archetype
Will Wagner (SD)
Wind helping
Lefty profile vs Pallante
Pedro Pages (STL)
Catcher pop
Long odds every night
Daniel Susac (SF)
Bottom-order power
Braves game could get weird
David Fry (CLE)
Power plays indoors
Better HR profile than public realizes
Chase DeLauter (CLE)
ULX favorite archetype
Young bat + lift + leverage spot
Nathan Church (STL)
Deep bomb candidate
Usually huge odds
Derek Hill (PHI)
Rare speed/power combo
Great American-style longshot profile in a smaller sample
Caleb Durbin (BOS)
Not known for power
Exactly why books leave him alone
ULX NUCLEAR HR LOTTO
⭐ Spencer Jones HR
⭐ Marcelo Mayer HR
⭐ Chase DeLauter HR
⭐ Daniel Susac HR
ULX “TEACH THEM TO FISH” NOTE
When hunting stolen bases:
Hitters 1–3 in lineup get priority.
Favor players with 15+ SB speed profiles.
Look for catchers with weak pop times.
Target pitchers slow to the plate.
Walks count the same as singles for SB opportunities.
Never chase SB props on slow-footed power bats.
The best pure SB targets on this slate are:
James Wood
Bobby Witt Jr.
Jarren Duran
Xavier Edwards
Trea Turner
And the best ULX-style HR longshots are:
Spencer Jones
Marcelo Mayer
Chase DeLauter
Daniel Susac
Will Wagner 🚨
Thx!
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